Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.372580 0.495728 0.637892 0.811691 1.015990 1.246179 1.522759
2025-11-02 0.207418 0.352291 0.546028 0.812588 1.158482 1.581411 2.126567
2025-11-09 0.105432 0.240060 0.451881 0.779272 1.243542 1.851290 2.679183
2025-11-16 0.061153 0.188037 0.420443 0.816353 1.417621 2.244758 3.415637
2025-11-23 0.031101 0.139430 0.374983 0.817859 1.535472 2.567768 4.078654
2025-11-30 0.018362 0.118062 0.368907 0.877786 1.742016 3.024532 4.944564
2025-12-07 0.009527 0.096314 0.352746 0.914379 1.912092 3.436052 5.764815
2025-12-14 0.003982 0.074950 0.327386 0.926662 2.040202 3.789317 6.514672
2025-12-21 0.001061 0.054262 0.292202 0.910250 2.114643 4.061517 7.154948
2025-12-28 0.000213 0.042276 0.274554 0.925232 2.242303 4.419226 7.930143
2026-01-04 0.000007 0.031542 0.253346 0.926643 2.343103 4.736477 8.653019
2026-01-11 NaN 0.020811 0.221835 0.895351 2.377585 4.945665 9.217015
2026-01-18 NaN 0.013295 0.195543 0.871487 2.425928 5.183904 9.841228
2026-01-25 NaN 0.009277 0.182223 0.878883 2.536454 5.530734 10.644589
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005103 0.157689 0.846890 2.562166 5.733321 11.227694
2026-02-08 NaN 0.003988 0.157154 0.887851 2.744339 6.212535 12.260132
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002408 0.145624 0.890307 2.842956 6.548453 13.071766
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002131 0.151888 0.954300 3.080989 7.138051 14.303012
2026-03-01 NaN 0.001574 0.151073 0.993310 3.265268 7.636841 15.397216
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000927 0.143584 1.006443 3.391502 8.034862 16.335684
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000366 0.129161 0.989119 3.445701 8.303384 17.067787
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000170 0.123619 1.005024 3.578148 8.718029 18.046833
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000049 0.115247 1.006535 3.675608 9.069929 18.927573